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Cincinnati Financial Corp CINF 190.48 6.14 3.33%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $190.48
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.0% ±$1.81 $188.67 – $192.29 $188.31 – $192.65 $186.61 – $194.35
2 sessions ±1.3% ±$2.51 $187.97 – $192.99 $187.45 – $193.51 $185.07 – $195.89
3 sessions ±1.7% ±$3.16 $187.32 – $193.64 $186.71 – $194.25 $183.76 – $197.20
1 week ±2.1% ±$4.02 $186.46 – $194.50 $185.58 – $195.38 $181.95 – $199.01
2 weeks ±3.0% ±$5.62 $184.86 – $196.10 $183.53 – $197.43 $178.48 – $202.48
3 weeks ±3.6% ±$6.93 $183.55 – $197.41 $181.85 – $199.11 $175.81 – $205.15
1 month ±4.3% ±$8.23 $182.25 – $198.71 $180.21 – $200.75 $173.03 – $207.93
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.11%
Average actual move
2.81%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-16.46%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 11, 2025 ±5.11% +2.81% 0.55× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →