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Chimera Investment Corp CIM 6.99 -0.29 -3.98%
Expected move
November 10, 2026 close · $6.99| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.8% ±$0.13 | $6.86 – $7.12 | $6.84 – $7.14 | $6.72 – $7.26 |
| 2 sessions | ±2.5% ±$0.17 | $6.82 – $7.16 | $6.78 – $7.20 | $6.61 – $7.37 |
| 3 sessions | ±3.1% ±$0.22 | $6.77 – $7.21 | $6.73 – $7.25 | $6.52 – $7.46 |
| 1 week | ±4.0% ±$0.28 | $6.71 – $7.27 | $6.65 – $7.33 | $6.39 – $7.59 |
| 2 weeks | ±5.6% ±$0.39 | $6.60 – $7.38 | $6.50 – $7.48 | $6.15 – $7.83 |
| 3 weeks | ±7.0% ±$0.49 | $6.50 – $7.48 | $6.39 – $7.59 | $5.96 – $8.02 |
| 1 month | ±8.3% ±$0.58 | $6.41 – $7.57 | $6.27 – $7.71 | $5.76 – $8.22 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±5.42%
Average actual move
5.85%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 4
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 11, 2026 | ±5.49% | +6.42% | 1.17× | — |
| August 06, 2025 | ±5.71% | -2.58% | 0.45× | — |
| May 08, 2025 | ±5.83% | +6.58% | 1.13× | — |
| February 12, 2025 | ±4.64% | -7.82% | 1.69× | — |