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Casey's General Stores Inc CASY 689.53 14.69 2.18%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $689.53
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$12.07 $677.46 – $701.60 $675.05 – $704.01 $663.67 – $715.39
2 sessions ±2.4% ±$16.76 $672.77 – $706.29 $669.19 – $709.87 $653.33 – $725.73
3 sessions ±3.1% ±$21.10 $668.43 – $710.63 $664.29 – $714.77 $644.57 – $734.49
1 week ±3.9% ±$26.82 $662.71 – $716.35 $656.71 – $722.35 $632.30 – $746.76
2 weeks ±5.5% ±$37.65 $651.88 – $727.18 $642.92 – $736.14 $609.13 – $769.93
3 weeks ±6.8% ±$46.68 $642.85 – $736.21 $631.54 – $747.52 $590.93 – $788.13
1 month ±8.1% ±$55.58 $633.95 – $745.11 $620.16 – $758.90 $571.69 – $807.37
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CASY reports in 23 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.18%
Average actual move
8.60%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 7
Median IV change
-54.57%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 09, 2026 ±9.07% -14.24% 1.57× —
June 10, 2026 ±8.65% +20.29% 2.35× —
March 10, 2026 ±7.89% +3.82% 0.48× —
September 09, 2025 ±8.33% +3.80% 0.46× —
June 10, 2025 ±7.47% +11.59% 1.55× —
March 12, 2025 ±8.30% +6.17% 0.74× —
December 10, 2024 ±7.55% -0.30% 0.04× 54.2% → 24.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →