CARS Moves

Cars CARS 12.75 1.19 10.29%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $12.75

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±12.3% ±$1.56	$11.19 – $14.31	$10.79 – $14.71	$9.34 – $16.16
2 sessions Earnings	±12.9% ±$1.65	$11.10 – $14.40	$10.70 – $14.80	$9.18 – $16.32
3 sessions Earnings	±13.5% ±$1.72	$11.03 – $14.47	$10.63 – $14.87	$9.06 – $16.44
1 week Earnings	±13.8% ±$1.76	$10.99 – $14.51	$10.57 – $14.93	$9.06 – $16.44
2 weeks Earnings	±14.1% ±$1.80	$10.95 – $14.55	$10.53 – $14.97	$8.96 – $16.54
3 weeks Earnings	±14.4% ±$1.83	$10.92 – $14.58	$10.48 – $15.02	$8.90 – $16.60
1 month Earnings	±14.7% ±$1.87	$10.88 – $14.62	$10.43 – $15.07	$8.82 – $16.68

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CARS reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.85%

Average actual move

10.36%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025	±10.85%	-10.36%	0.95×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →