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Webull Corporation Class A Ordinary BULL 4.81 -0.58 -10.76%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $4.77
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.0% ±$0.14 $4.63 – $4.91 $4.60 – $4.94 $4.47 – $5.07
2 sessions ±4.1% ±$0.20 $4.57 – $4.97 $4.53 – $5.01 $4.35 – $5.19
3 sessions ±5.2% ±$0.25 $4.52 – $5.02 $4.48 – $5.06 $4.25 – $5.29
1 week ±6.6% ±$0.31 $4.46 – $5.08 $4.39 – $5.15 $4.10 – $5.44
2 weeks ±9.2% ±$0.44 $4.33 – $5.21 $4.23 – $5.31 $3.83 – $5.71
3 weeks Earnings ±14.4% ±$0.68 $4.09 – $5.45 $3.92 – $5.62 $3.33 – $6.21
1 month Earnings ±16.2% ±$0.77 $4.00 – $5.54 $3.81 – $5.73 $3.15 – $6.39
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BULL reports in 11 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.33%
Average actual move
6.16%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 5
Median IV change
-21.57%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 20, 2026 ±10.01% +2.43% 0.24× —
May 22, 2026 ±8.32% -6.51% 0.78× 82.5% → 65.6%
March 05, 2026 ±9.88% -5.60% 0.57× —
August 29, 2025 ±8.96% -7.36% 0.82× 98.5% → 76.2%
May 23, 2025 ±14.44% -8.89% 0.62× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →