Closed
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

B2Gold Corp BTG 5.27 0.16 3.13%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $5.32
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$0.13 $5.19 – $5.44 $5.17 – $5.46 $5.05 – $5.58
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.17 $5.14 – $5.49 $5.11 – $5.52 $4.95 – $5.68
3 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.21 $5.10 – $5.53 $5.06 – $5.57 $4.86 – $5.77
1 week ±5.1% ±$0.27 $5.04 – $5.59 $4.98 – $5.65 $4.74 – $5.89
2 weeks ±7.2% ±$0.38 $4.93 – $5.70 $4.84 – $5.79 $4.50 – $6.13
3 weeks ±8.9% ±$0.47 $4.84 – $5.79 $4.73 – $5.90 $4.32 – $6.31
1 month ±10.0% ±$0.53 $4.78 – $5.85 $4.65 – $5.98 $4.19 – $6.44
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.66%
Average actual move
9.08%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 5
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 05, 2026 ±6.36% +3.13% 0.49× —
August 07, 2026 ±9.78% +22.98% 2.35× —
May 07, 2026 ±5.58% +10.49% 1.88× —
August 08, 2025 ±8.49% -6.53% 0.77× —
May 08, 2025 ±8.09% -2.27% 0.28× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →