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Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A BTDR 5.31 -1.22 -18.68%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $5.31
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±5.3% ±$0.28 $5.03 – $5.59 $4.97 – $5.65 $4.71 – $5.91
2 sessions ±7.3% ±$0.39 $4.92 – $5.70 $4.84 – $5.78 $4.47 – $6.15
3 sessions Earnings ±17.4% ±$0.92 $4.39 – $6.23 $4.17 – $6.45 $3.33 – $7.29
1 week Earnings ±19.3% ±$1.03 $4.28 – $6.34 $4.04 – $6.58 $3.15 – $7.47
2 weeks Earnings ±23.0% ±$1.22 $4.09 – $6.53 $3.80 – $6.82 $2.73 – $7.89
3 weeks Earnings ±26.1% ±$1.39 $3.92 – $6.70 $3.59 – $7.03 $2.40 – $8.22
1 month Earnings ±29.3% ±$1.55 $3.76 – $6.86 $3.38 – $7.24 $2.04 – $8.58
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BTDR reports in 3 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.00%
Average actual move
14.05%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-19.50%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 10, 2026 ±16.77% -20.08% 1.20× —
May 14, 2026 ±13.99% +11.57% 0.83× —
February 12, 2026 ±13.14% -13.51% 1.03× —
August 18, 2025 ±14.38% +7.24% 0.50× 107.9% → 88.0%
May 15, 2025 ±13.31% -2.56% 0.19× 127.3% → 101.2%
February 25, 2025 ±12.40% -29.31% 2.36× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →