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Black Stone Minerals BSM 14.51 -0.38 -2.55%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $14.51
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.1% ±$0.15 $14.36 – $14.66 $14.32 – $14.70 $14.18 – $14.84
2 sessions ±1.5% ±$0.21 $14.30 – $14.72 $14.25 – $14.77 $14.05 – $14.97
3 sessions ±1.9% ±$0.27 $14.24 – $14.78 $14.19 – $14.83 $13.93 – $15.09
1 week ±2.4% ±$0.34 $14.17 – $14.85 $14.09 – $14.93 $13.78 – $15.24
2 weeks ±3.3% ±$0.48 $14.03 – $14.99 $13.91 – $15.11 $13.48 – $15.54
3 weeks ±4.1% ±$0.60 $13.91 – $15.11 $13.77 – $15.25 $13.25 – $15.77
1 month ±4.9% ±$0.71 $13.80 – $15.22 $13.62 – $15.40 $13.00 – $16.02
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±3.97%
Average actual move
1.11%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-10.70%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 05, 2025 ±3.97% +1.11% 0.28× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →