BR Moves

Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc BR 193.92 4.63 2.45%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $193.92

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.4% ±$2.77	$191.15 – $196.69	$190.58 – $197.26	$187.97 – $199.87
2 sessions	±2.0% ±$3.86	$190.06 – $197.78	$189.25 – $198.59	$185.60 – $202.24
3 sessions	±2.5% ±$4.85	$189.07 – $198.77	$188.12 – $199.72	$183.58 – $204.26
1 week	±3.2% ±$6.17	$187.75 – $200.09	$186.38 – $201.46	$180.77 – $207.07
2 weeks	±4.5% ±$8.65	$185.27 – $202.57	$183.22 – $204.62	$175.46 – $212.38
3 weeks	±5.5% ±$10.72	$183.20 – $204.64	$180.60 – $207.24	$171.27 – $216.57
1 month	±6.6% ±$12.78	$181.14 – $206.70	$177.98 – $209.86	$166.85 – $220.99

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±4.99%

Average actual move

6.79%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-26.15%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 05, 2025	±4.99%	+6.79%	1.36×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →