BLSH Moves

Bullish BLSH 20.71 -2.42 -10.46%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $20.68

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.3% ±$0.69	$19.99 – $21.37	$19.85 – $21.51	$19.20 – $22.16
2 sessions	±4.6% ±$0.96	$19.72 – $21.64	$19.52 – $21.85	$18.61 – $22.75
3 sessions	±5.8% ±$1.21	$19.47 – $21.89	$19.24 – $22.12	$18.11 – $23.26
1 week	±7.4% ±$1.54	$19.14 – $22.22	$18.80 – $22.56	$17.41 – $23.96
2 weeks Earnings	±16.1% ±$3.33	$17.35 – $24.01	$16.57 – $24.79	$13.66 – $27.70
3 weeks Earnings	±17.9% ±$3.69	$16.99 – $24.37	$16.11 – $25.25	$12.92 – $28.44
1 month Earnings	±19.7% ±$4.08	$16.61 – $24.76	$15.62 – $25.74	$12.11 – $29.25

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BLSH reports in 9 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.56%

Average actual move

8.60%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026	±8.87%	+11.57%	1.30×	—
May 14, 2026	±12.26%	-5.62%	0.46×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →