BLLN Moves

BillionToOne BLLN 113.89 3.44 3.11%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $113.09

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±15.6% ±$17.68	$95.41 – $130.77	$90.95 – $135.23	$74.57 – $151.61
2 sessions Earnings	±16.7% ±$18.85	$94.24 – $131.94	$89.61 – $136.57	$72.23 – $153.95
3 sessions Earnings	±17.6% ±$19.92	$93.17 – $133.01	$88.57 – $137.61	$70.35 – $155.83
1 week Earnings	±18.4% ±$20.82	$92.27 – $133.91	$87.24 – $138.94	$69.32 – $156.86
2 weeks Earnings	±19.8% ±$22.39	$90.70 – $135.48	$85.43 – $140.75	$65.87 – $160.31
3 weeks Earnings	±21.0% ±$23.75	$89.34 – $136.84	$83.70 – $142.48	$63.18 – $163.00
1 month Earnings	±22.3% ±$25.23	$87.86 – $138.32	$81.78 – $144.40	$60.04 – $166.14

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BLLN reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±16.46%

Average actual move

14.13%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±16.46%	+14.13%	0.86×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →