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BlackSky Technology Inc BKSY 19.12 2.35 14.01%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $18.84
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.0% ±$0.75 $18.09 – $19.59 $17.94 – $19.74 $17.23 – $20.45
2 sessions ±5.5% ±$1.04 $17.80 – $19.88 $17.58 – $20.10 $16.59 – $21.09
3 sessions ±7.0% ±$1.31 $17.53 – $20.15 $17.28 – $20.40 $16.05 – $21.63
1 week ±8.8% ±$1.67 $17.17 – $20.51 $16.80 – $20.88 $15.29 – $22.39
2 weeks ±12.4% ±$2.34 $16.50 – $21.18 $15.95 – $21.73 $13.85 – $23.83
3 weeks ±15.4% ±$2.90 $15.94 – $21.74 $15.24 – $22.44 $12.72 – $24.96
1 month ±18.3% ±$3.45 $15.39 – $22.29 $14.54 – $23.14 $11.53 – $26.15
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.08%
Average actual move
13.19%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Median IV change
-10.30%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±19.01% -20.41% 1.07× —
August 07, 2025 ±9.15% -5.96% 0.65× 97.7% → 87.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →