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BILL Holdings BILL 48.31 -0.16 -0.33%

Previous-day view · Fri Oct 30 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

October 30, 2026 close · $48.11
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.8% ±$1.81 $46.30 – $49.92 $45.93 – $50.29 $44.22 – $52.00
2 sessions ±5.2% ±$2.52 $45.59 – $50.63 $45.06 – $51.16 $42.67 – $53.55
3 sessions ±6.6% ±$3.18 $44.93 – $51.29 $44.32 – $51.90 $41.35 – $54.87
1 week ±8.4% ±$4.04 $44.07 – $52.15 $43.17 – $53.05 $39.51 – $56.71
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BILL reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±13.69%
Average actual move
14.79%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-51.35%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 20, 2026 ±14.15% -0.65% 0.05× —
May 08, 2026 ±11.95% +11.07% 0.93× —
August 28, 2025 ±16.33% +18.18% 1.11× —
May 09, 2025 ±14.29% -5.99% 0.42× 102.6% → 49.9%
February 07, 2025 ±14.79% -35.52% 2.40× —
November 08, 2024 ±10.62% +17.31% 1.63× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →