BG Moves

Bunge Global SA BG 98.54 1.53 1.58%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $98.00

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.5% ±$1.51	$96.50 – $99.51	$96.19 – $99.82	$94.77 – $101.24
2 sessions	±2.1% ±$2.09	$95.91 – $100.10	$95.47 – $100.54	$93.49 – $102.52
3 sessions	±2.7% ±$2.64	$95.37 – $100.64	$94.86 – $101.15	$92.38 – $103.63
1 week	±3.4% ±$3.36	$94.65 – $101.36	$93.90 – $102.11	$90.85 – $105.16
2 weeks	±4.8% ±$4.72	$93.29 – $102.72	$92.18 – $103.83	$87.96 – $108.05
3 weeks	±6.0% ±$5.91	$92.10 – $103.91	$90.65 – $105.36	$85.52 – $110.49
1 month	±7.3% ±$7.12	$90.89 – $105.12	$89.13 – $106.88	$82.93 – $113.08

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.27%

Average actual move

2.89%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-21.09%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2025	±6.27%	-2.89%	0.46×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →