BELFB Moves

Bel Fuse Inc BELFB 195.94 -21.49 -9.88%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $195.20

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.6% ±$5.00	$190.20 – $200.20	$189.19 – $201.21	$184.46 – $205.94
2 sessions	±3.6% ±$6.97	$188.23 – $202.17	$186.77 – $203.63	$180.19 – $210.21
3 sessions	±4.5% ±$8.76	$186.44 – $203.96	$184.74 – $205.66	$176.52 – $213.88
1 week	±5.7% ±$11.15	$184.05 – $206.35	$181.57 – $208.82	$171.46 – $218.94
2 weeks	±8.0% ±$15.64	$179.56 – $210.84	$175.86 – $214.54	$161.82 – $228.58
3 weeks	±9.9% ±$19.36	$175.84 – $214.56	$171.11 – $219.29	$154.27 – $236.13
1 month	±11.8% ±$23.07	$172.13 – $218.27	$166.41 – $223.99	$146.28 – $244.12

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.92%

Average actual move

6.00%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 18, 2026	±9.92%	-6.00%	0.60×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →