BAND Moves

Bandwidth Inc BAND 40.34 2.54 6.72%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $40.34

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.8% ±$1.52	$38.82 – $41.86	$38.51 – $42.17	$37.07 – $43.61
2 sessions	±5.3% ±$2.12	$38.22 – $42.46	$37.77 – $42.91	$35.77 – $44.91
3 sessions	±6.6% ±$2.67	$37.67 – $43.01	$37.16 – $43.52	$34.66 – $46.02
1 week	±8.4% ±$3.39	$36.95 – $43.73	$36.19 – $44.49	$33.12 – $47.56
2 weeks	±11.8% ±$4.76	$35.58 – $45.10	$34.46 – $46.22	$30.19 – $50.49
3 weeks	±14.6% ±$5.89	$34.45 – $46.23	$33.02 – $47.66	$27.89 – $52.79
1 month	±17.4% ±$7.02	$33.32 – $47.36	$31.58 – $49.10	$25.46 – $55.22

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±16.07%

Average actual move

8.24%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-42.75%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2025	±17.51%	+12.05%	0.69×	130.9% → 60.3%
February 20, 2025	±14.64%	-4.43%	0.30×	81.9% → 52.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →