Barrick Mining Corporation B 40.34 0.21 0.52%
Expected move
November 05, 2026 close · $40.10| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.9% ±$0.77 | $39.33 – $40.87 | $39.18 – $41.02 | $38.46 – $41.74 |
| 2 sessions Earnings | ±5.3% ±$2.13 | $37.97 – $42.23 | $37.45 – $42.75 | $35.49 – $44.71 |
| 3 sessions Earnings | ±5.9% ±$2.35 | $37.75 – $42.45 | $37.20 – $43.00 | $35.05 – $45.15 |
| 1 week Earnings | ±6.6% ±$2.65 | $37.45 – $42.75 | $36.81 – $43.39 | $34.53 – $45.67 |
| 2 weeks Earnings | ±8.0% ±$3.22 | $36.88 – $43.32 | $36.12 – $44.08 | $33.31 – $46.89 |
| 3 weeks Earnings | ±9.2% ±$3.68 | $36.42 – $43.78 | $35.54 – $44.66 | $32.36 – $47.84 |
| 1 month Earnings | ±10.4% ±$4.16 | $35.94 – $44.26 | $34.94 – $45.26 | $31.36 – $48.84 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±6.12%
Average actual move
6.26%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-5.27%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 10, 2026 | ±5.94% | -6.41% | 1.08× | 49.4% → 48.4% |
| May 11, 2026 | ±6.62% | +8.97% | 1.36× | — |
| February 05, 2026 | ±7.46% | -7.16% | 0.96× | — |
| August 11, 2025 | ±4.46% | -2.52% | 0.56× | 36.3% → 33.2% |