AVPT Moves

AvePoint AVPT 16.42 -0.48 -2.84%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $16.42

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.5% ±$0.40	$16.02 – $16.82	$15.94 – $16.90	$15.55 – $17.29
2 sessions	±3.4% ±$0.56	$15.86 – $16.98	$15.74 – $17.10	$15.21 – $17.63
3 sessions	±4.3% ±$0.71	$15.71 – $17.13	$15.58 – $17.26	$14.92 – $17.92
1 week	±5.5% ±$0.90	$15.52 – $17.32	$15.32 – $17.52	$14.51 – $18.33
2 weeks	±7.7% ±$1.26	$15.16 – $17.68	$14.86 – $17.98	$13.73 – $19.11
3 weeks	±9.5% ±$1.56	$14.86 – $17.98	$14.48 – $18.36	$13.12 – $19.72
1 month	±11.3% ±$1.86	$14.56 – $18.28	$14.10 – $18.74	$12.48 – $20.36

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. AVPT reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.00%

Average actual move

18.11%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 08, 2025	±10.00%	-18.11%	1.81×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →