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ARAMARK ARMK 50.3 -2.03 -3.88%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $50.19
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.2% ±$1.12 $49.07 – $51.31 $48.85 – $51.54 $47.79 – $52.60
2 sessions ±3.1% ±$1.56 $48.64 – $51.75 $48.30 – $52.08 $46.83 – $53.55
3 sessions ±3.9% ±$1.96 $48.23 – $52.15 $47.85 – $52.54 $46.01 – $54.37
1 week ±5.0% ±$2.50 $47.70 – $52.69 $47.14 – $53.24 $44.88 – $55.51
2 weeks ±7.0% ±$3.50 $46.69 – $53.69 $45.86 – $54.52 $42.72 – $57.66
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ARMK reports in 7 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.28%
Average actual move
7.02%
Beyond the implied move
4 / 6
Median IV change
-26.89%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 11, 2026 ±7.36% +8.54% 1.16× —
May 12, 2026 ±5.95% +8.64% 1.45× —
February 10, 2026 ±6.31% +5.57% 0.88× —
August 05, 2025 ±5.74% -8.23% 1.43× —
May 06, 2025 ±6.29% +10.06% 1.60× —
November 11, 2024 ±6.01% -1.10% 0.18× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →