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Ares Management Corporation Class A ARES 133.72 -3.13 -2.29%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $133.67
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$2.70 $130.97 – $136.37 $130.43 – $136.92 $127.87 – $139.48
2 sessions ±2.8% ±$3.76 $129.92 – $137.43 $129.12 – $138.23 $125.56 – $141.79
3 sessions ±3.5% ±$4.74 $128.94 – $138.41 $128.02 – $139.33 $123.59 – $143.75
1 week ±4.5% ±$6.02 $127.66 – $139.69 $126.31 – $141.04 $120.85 – $146.49
2 weeks ±6.3% ±$8.45 $125.23 – $142.12 $123.23 – $144.11 $115.65 – $151.69
3 weeks ±7.7% ±$10.31 $123.37 – $143.98 $120.87 – $146.48 $111.90 – $155.45
1 month ±8.9% ±$11.87 $121.80 – $145.54 $118.86 – $148.48 $108.52 – $158.83
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.70%
Average actual move
2.46%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 4
Median IV change
-13.38%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 29, 2026 ±4.99% +2.95% 0.59× —
July 31, 2026 ±4.45% +3.20% 0.72× —
May 01, 2026 ±6.13% +1.36% 0.22× 62.7% → 53.0%
May 05, 2025 ±7.23% +2.35% 0.33× 45.4% → 42.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →