APPS Moves

Digital Turbine APPS 9.67 0.13 1.36%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $9.61

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.7% ±$0.35	$9.26 – $9.96	$9.19 – $10.03	$8.86 – $10.36
2 sessions	±5.1% ±$0.49	$9.12 – $10.10	$9.02 – $10.20	$8.56 – $10.66
3 sessions Earnings	±24.4% ±$2.34	$7.27 – $11.95	$6.72 – $12.50	$4.58 – $14.64
1 week Earnings	±25.3% ±$2.43	$7.18 – $12.04	$6.59 – $12.63	$4.51 – $14.71
2 weeks Earnings	±26.7% ±$2.56	$7.05 – $12.17	$6.44 – $12.78	$4.20 – $15.02
3 weeks Earnings	±27.9% ±$2.68	$6.93 – $12.29	$6.29 – $12.93	$3.98 – $15.24
1 month Earnings	±29.2% ±$2.81	$6.80 – $12.42	$6.12 – $13.10	$3.70 – $15.52

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. APPS reports in 3 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±27.55%

Average actual move

56.76%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
June 17, 2025	±27.55%	+56.76%	2.06×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →