AJG Moves

Arthur J AJG 288.11 -0.27 -0.09%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $288.11

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.6% ±$4.52	$283.59 – $292.63	$282.66 – $293.55	$278.37 – $297.85
2 sessions	±2.2% ±$6.31	$281.80 – $294.42	$280.47 – $295.74	$274.51 – $301.71
3 sessions	±2.8% ±$7.95	$280.16 – $296.06	$278.63 – $297.59	$271.20 – $305.02
1 week	±3.5% ±$10.11	$278.00 – $298.22	$275.75 – $300.47	$266.59 – $309.63
2 weeks	±4.9% ±$14.17	$273.93 – $302.28	$270.59 – $305.63	$257.86 – $318.36
3 weeks	±6.0% ±$17.31	$270.79 – $305.42	$266.59 – $309.63	$251.55 – $324.67
1 month	±7.1% ±$20.37	$267.74 – $308.48	$262.67 – $313.55	$244.89 – $331.33

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

No completed report with a comparable pre-report straddle.